Texas, for example, is a politically evolving state, and the presidential race there is closer than Republicans would like. Two other Republican-held seats -- Kansas and, to a greater extent, Kentucky -- are generating buzz this year, too, but neither is likely to grace the top 10 list anytime soon. Two-term Democrat Tammy Baldwin was re-elected in 2018. Ce renouvellement aboutit à un renforcement de la majorité de la droite et du centre. 2026. Les élections devaient initialement se tenir en 2007 et 2010, mais en raison de la modification du calendrier électoral des élections municipales et cantonales et afin que les sénateurs soient élus désormais et dans les années à venir par des grands électeurs en début de mandat, les élections sénatoriales ont été décalées d'une année soit septembre 2008, 2011 et 2014. And in Kentucky, Democrat Amy McGrath is outraising Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, whose lead has dipped into single digits in, Jones has been in a perilous position ever since he flipped this seat blue in a December 2017 special election, only narrowly defeating the scandal-plagued Roy Moore. © 2020 Electoral Ventures LLC. Four-term Democrat Debbie Stabenow was re-elected in 2018. First elected in 1996, the Caribou, Maine, native has relied on an image of a moderate GOP lawmaker. Besides Alabama, one other Democrat-held seat comes in at the bottom: Gary Peters of Michigan is the only other Democrat running for reelection this year in a state Trump carried, albeit narrowly, in 2016. To break a tie, use the VP box on the interactive map to select the VP in 2021 (i.e., winning party in 2020 presidential election). He has hinted that he may retire.[4].
Safe is 15% or higher. With so many moving parts, it's too soon to tell whether this seat deserves to be on the list, but there's no question it's causing an extra headache for Republicans. Every day, our model explores 10,000 paths each Senate race could take. The first-term incumbent, who only narrowly won in 2014, ended up avoiding a contentious primary but had to spend money and political capital in the off-year to do it. The consensus rating is used where there are no polls as well as for the Georgia special election. All rights reserved. Appointed to this open seat after losing the 2018 Senate race, McSally is the only incumbent on this list who hasn't won statewide. Incumbent not running for re-election in 2020. Senators are divided into three groups, or classes, whose terms are staggered so that a different class is elected every two years. * The arrows on the counter above the map designate the controlling party. But in one sign that national Republicans may see an opportunity here, a GOP-aligned advocacy group recently, Democratic challengers raking in millions, The 10 House districts most likely to flip in 2020. The bars below display the probability of each of the two major parties winning a specific number of seats. The most recent polls for the 35 Senate races contested during the 2020 elections. These simulations allow one party to do unusually well or poorly nationwide, and also provide appropriate uncertainty in each specific contest. Several other GOP-held seats could move onto the list in the future. Class 1 senators were last elected in 2018, and will be up for election again in 2024. ^ Excludes AZ & GA seats with special elections in 2020. One-term Republican Mitt Romney was elected in 2018. Our model is updated every day, blending the latest data on polls and fundraising with “fundamental” factors like incumbency and each state’s partisan lean. One-term Republican Mike Braun was elected in 2018. Possible Democratic candidates include former U.S Representative and 2016 Democratic nominee for U.S Senate Patrick Murphy.[2]. The U.S. Senate has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents). Three-term Democrat Jon Tester was re-elected in 2018. Two-term Democrat Tim Kaine was re-elected in 2018. Each state has two senators, but only a third are up for election at one time. When both parties hold 50 seats, control of the Senate is decided by which party holds … Two-term Democrat Martin Heinrich was re-elected in 2018. Republicans have long been high on James as a candidate -- an Iraq war veteran and Black businessman -- even if they recognized his uphill climb against Democratic incumbents in the Wolverine State. One-term Republican Josh Hawley was elected in 2018. Latest forecasts and polls for the 2020 Senate elections by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight. Ernst spoke at last week's GOP convention, but this year's presidential race looks much closer here, and Ernst -- the first woman elected to federal office in Iowa -- may need to convince voters why she deserves a second term -- even if Trump doesn't. The New Jersey seat is also open due to its incumbent losing in the primaries. And Class I, having just been elected in 2018, will not face the voters again until 2024. Future Presidents of the United States 2020-2032 (GOTUS), History of Men's Tennis, 2000-2020 (Age of the Big Four), United States Presidential Election 2012 (LLB'sWorld), 2028 US Presidential Election (Populist America), 2020 US Presidential Election (Populist America), United States Presidential Election 2016 (LLB'sWorld), United States presidential election, 2012 (Conservative America), United States Presidential Election, 2012 (President Ventura), United States Senate elections, 2024 (EasternSky), https://future.fandom.com/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2024_(EasternSky)?oldid=290801. Class III faces voters in 2022. Return here to share it. Appointed Sen. Kelly Loeffler faces Republicans and Democrats on the same ballot in the November special election, which will likely go to a January runoff. Three-term Democrat Ben Cardin was re-elected in 2018. Sen. David Perdue's seat falls in the bottom half of our ranking, but the state's other seat is also competitive. Four-term Democrat Tom Carper was re-elected in 2018.
Sources: Clerk of the House of Representatives; Congressional Quarterly; MIT Election Lab; VoteView; Gary Jacobson; Ballotpedia; Daily Kos Elections; OurCampaigns; state election records; Corwin Smidt; American National Election Studies; Polidata; RealClearPolitics; DC Political Report; FiveThirtyEight; US Election Atlas; Huffington Post Pollster; Congressional District Religiosity Dataset; American Community Survey; United States Census; Wikipedia; Database on Ideology, Money in Politics, and Elections; Carl Klarner; Federal Election Commission; Joseph Bafumi; Roper Center; The Economist, Published since September 1843 to take part in “a severe contest between intelligence, which presses forward, and an unworthy, timid ignorance obstructing our progress.”. During the Democratic primary of the race, Carper implied that he would retire in 2024, and when asked about it said, "This may be the last time."[1]. The United States Senate elections of 2024 were held on November 3, 2024, along with the Presidential election and the other congressional and gubernatorial elections. Two-term Democrat Mazie Hirono was re-elected in 2018. Municipales. This election … Class 1 senators were last elected in 2018, and will be up for election again in 2024. The map below displays the party favoured to win each seat, and its estimated probability of victory. The vice president breaks 50-50 ties. States where the margin is <5% are shown as toss-up. Class II, as it’s known, faces the voters in 2020.

We analyzed every Senate race to determine who we think will win in 2020. History of Men's Tennis, 2000-2020 (Age of the Big Four), Future Presidents of the United States 2020-2032 (GOTUS), United States Presidential Election 2012 (LLB'sWorld), 2028 US Presidential Election (Populist America), 2020 US Presidential Election (Populist America), United States Presidential Election 2016 (LLB'sWorld), United States presidential election, 2012 (Conservative America), United States Presidential Election, 2012 (President Ventura), https://future.fandom.com/wiki/United_States_Senate_Election,_2024_(Nkechinyer)?oldid=231821.


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